**A Look into the Future: 2035-2046**

In 14 years, in 2035, all those numbers are going to be way more impressive. Executive Order or not, 2041 is a significant milestone, marking 20 years from now. At that point, I'll be 48, and barring anything cataclysmic, EVs are going to be approaching majority status.

**The Value of Old Cars**

By then, barring anything cataclysmic, there will probably still be a lot of old internal combustion cars on the road, especially in rural areas. Which brings up the event I'm looking forward to the least in this video and that is trying to buy one of these old things.

**The Rise of EVs**

We talked about online car auction sites and the effect they've had on today's market, how certain car values are already being inflated by collectors with deep pockets. This problem will likely get much more expensive as there are less and less gasoline cars on the road and by extension way less cars with manual transmissions.

**Hold onto Your Old Car**

If you have an even mildly interesting car with an internal combustion engine, hold onto it. If you can enjoy it, but hold onto it. There's a decent chance that in 20 years, you can get good money for it.

**2046: A Future of Flying Cars and Autonomous Vehicles**

We made it to 2046, 25 years in the future. This is 3 years before the events of Blade Runner 2049. Well, we have flying cars – unlikely, check out our podcasts, and flying cars to see why that's the case.

**Autonomous Cars and a Changed World**

Earlier, we talked about autonomous cars and how by 2030, we might see 15% of cars on the road being able to completely drive themselves. But as we know, technology often improves at an exponential rate.

**Futurists Predict a Grand Transformation**

Futurist Rohit Talwar says it's conceivable that in the years leading up to 2040, the computing power within our cars will become so powerful that the idea of the car will transform into a "always on highly connected, self-monitoring, self-managing technology platform."

**Transportation as a Change in Culture**

Futurist Gareth Leonard lays out the idea that changes in transportation are really changes in culture. Every city will have a different need for transportation.

**Attitudes and Culture Around Cars Will Change**

You'll probably always have a place in your heart for cars, but your kids and grandkids might not. And that's how change happens.

**Relax and Enjoy the Cars We Have Right Now**

While the future may be scary, fate is not set in stone. It probably won't even be five years before a prediction I'm making this video will be hilariously out of date and very, very wrong.

**The GRS Will Be Legal Too**

Hey, if you like this video, go ahead and hit that like button consider subscribing to our channel. We put out dope videos like this nearly every day.

**Conclusion**

Followed Donut Media on all social media at @donutmedia. Follow me @nolanjsykes. I take pictures sometimes. Be kind, take care of each other, hold onto your cool car. See you next time.

WEBVTTKind: captionsLanguage: en- The American car isdriving right into the spaceage electronics,transistors and computers.It dramatizes is the ceaseless searchby inspiring minds for bettertransportation tomorrow.- A few weeks ago, during my usual routineof ignoring responsibilitiesin favor of goofing off,I found this post on theR slash car sub Reddit.The title read anyone elsewish we weren't headingtowards an e-vehicleboom slash global warming catastrophe sothat we can enjoy V8's with peace of mind?The Opie then goes on to expressenvy towards older driverswho got to experience the muscle car erain person and how that'snot really possiblenow that cars are more likelyto focus on efficiency.And the factthat they're also really,really expensive nowadays.What caught my attention washow many people respondedto the post.Nearly 2000 users weighedin on their own thoughtson the currency of carsand where things are going.There is no denyingthat the car scene isgoing to have to dealwith some major changesin the next 25 years.And that's what I wantto talk about today.Thanks to Fiverr forsponsoring today's video.We here at Dunham make aninsane amount of content eachwith its own unique needs,but throughout people workingbehind the scenes, whichis why we sometimes turnto our friends at Fiverrfor our freelance needs.Fiverr connects businesses withfreelancers offering digitalservices that can be foundin just under five minutesat unbeatable pricesand 24 hour turnarounds.And to prove just how great Fiverr,we hired a variety offreelancers to finish this adin a bunch of different ways.Maybe it's something as simpleas I need to be live actionand have an animated dragsteraround me with afunctioning engine, or maybeI need to be a stickfigure, walking across pagesdiscussing how cars go from a sketchand a book to a real life working caror maybe we need somethingto showcase my massive fearfor what the future of cars is like.Will they be all electric?Will we never be able todrive our vintage patina cars?Will there finally be flying cars?So whatever it is you needto make your project happenor if you have a special skillof your own signup for fiverr today.Head to FVRR.CO/DONUTand use code donut to save10% on your next purchase.Now let's check out the future of cars.If you'veBeen keeping up with the auto industryyou've probably noticed a strange trendin how manufacturers talk aboutthemselves and their future.Back in 2017, both Fordand Toyota announced they'dreformed their operationsinto thatof mobility companies ratherthan automobile manufacturers.Then in 2019 Daimler financial serviceswhich operates brandslike Mercedes, my backand Freightliner changedits name to Dahmer mobility.It sounds like the auto industryisn't just about buildingand selling cars anymore.They're about getting people around.Add on top of that, the announcementsby government saying theywant to outlaw the saleof internal combustion enginesand companies committingto win all electric future.It's clear that we're in fora very different era of cars.Very soon.Nobody can accurately predict the futurebut let's take some educated guessesat what the next 25 yearsmight look like for cars.One year from now.Some good news is, isthat our very immediatefuture looks pretty good, eventhough it feels likeself-driving electric robotcars are going to take over any minute.Now, the reality is we're currentlyin a golden age of fun cars.They are without exaggerationthe best they've ever beenwith some really coolstuff coming out very soon.Within the next 12 months,we'll see the new Bronconew BRZ, new Nissan, Z,and the refresh Mustang.All of these will havemanual transmissions.We might also see the gr Corollawhich might be all wheeldrive, like the gr Yareswhich we did not get in the United States.Still not about that.My point is these are all cars aimedat younger enthusiasts like us and provethat the sports car isvery much still alive.One big shiftin the news right nowcausing some alarm is companyafter company halting developmenton their internal combustion engines.Mercedes kind of gotthe ball rolling in 2019announcing that there willbe no next generation enginesfrom the brand Audi and VWfollowed suit earlier this year.And very recently Hondaannounced their intention togo completely electric by 2040.Very understandably people go nutson social media every time this happens.And I get why I love an AMG V8and a Honda four bangeras much as the next guybut I need you guys tocalm down for a second.This isn't gonna happen overnight.In every press release,laying out these plans.They always always saythey'll continue tweakingtheir current enginesfor more efficiency and moreimportantly, more power.The internal combustionengine is at its peak.They literally cannot make them any betterwithout making them way more expensive.It would be stupid forthem to throw out thistechnology in favor ofelectric when the Evieinfrastructure just isn't quite there yet.Plus think of like the LSI think has been aroundfor like 35 years.They're still tweaking it.So they're not going to go away.Not just yet.Manufacturers are goingto keep building enginesfor good while, especiallyin places that haveno Evie support speak uplike your mom's house.20253 German manufacturers makingsimilar announcements todrop internal combustionengines is not a coincidence.They're all motivated by one,the very real VW diesel gate scandaland how much scrutiny that broughton all manufacturers and two,stricter emissions guidelinesin the European unioncalled Euro seven standardswhich are slated to take effectin 2025.Euro seven would drasticallyreduce the amountof emissions allowed by manufacturersto a level that is borderline impossiblewith today's engine technology.Critics and industry insiders, alightcompared these regulationsto a backdoor prohibition.The EU wouldn't outright ban the engine.This make it super duper hardfor any car maker to meet the regulations.This ordinance makes more sense in contextof the EUs ultimate goal, whichis to have quote, an economywith net zero greenhousegas emissions by 2050.That's a pretty lofty goal.We also got to keep in mindthat the Euro seven guidelineshaven't been set in stone.They're just looming off in the distancewhich might've been thegoal all along, but evenjust announcing these intentions,3 major companies have backedoff gas engine development.With these circumstances in mind,here's my prediction for 2025.Germany will still be knownin the U S for theluxurious and meticulouslyengineered rides.But now in an electric flavor.We're already seeingthis come to fruition,but Porsche Tycon is oneof the most futuristiccars I've ever driven.I freaking love it, but it still feelslike Porscha,Mercedes is showing off the 2022 EQS,which isn't just nice foran electric car, but oneof the comfiest rides you can buy.I also think some German carswill keep their gas engine aslong as they can, like the Porsche nine 11and the AMG GT they'llneed to figure out how tomake an electric car sound goodbefore they give those tarsEvie powertrains.But in the meantime,cleaner fuels like the stuffJeremiah was talking about a few weeks agomight keep the internalcombustion engine alive.For some time.We just don't know yet2030It turns out the predictingthe future is a pretty fruitand speculative, but lucky for mea lot of the work has been donefor us.In their 2016 mobility reportautomotive revolutionperspective towards 2030McKinsey and company saidthat quote automotive incumbentscan not predict the futureof the industry with certainty.This report done in conjunctionwith Stanford university lays out somelet's say general trendsand paints a picturefor what we can expect by 2030the report puts a lot ofweight into shared mobilitythe catchall term for ridesharing, public transitany method that gets yousomewhere that you don't own personally.McKinsey speculates thatwith the ever-increasingpopularity of ride sharing appslike Uber and Lyft car saleswill undoubtedly be effectivebut not as drasticallyas you might expect.At the time of thereports released in 2016vehicle sales weresteadily increasing threeand a half percent per year.McKinsey expects that to dropto 2% with cars beingused for ride sharingbeing replaced more often.Alongside ride sharinggetting more popular andcar ownership declining,The McKinsey report holdstwo more interesting insightsfor 2030.The first is the prediction thatup to 15% of cars will be fully autonomouseven though the report was written in 2016that sounds pretty low.And for that reason, I thinkthat's pretty accurate.Autonomous cars have beenin the news a lot lately andfor mostly not great reasons.Getting a car to drive itself reliablyand safely in real-worldconditions is incredibly difficult.And it will be oneof the defining techmilestones of our lifetime.It's okay that it hasn't happened yet.It's hard, but in the sameway that German luxurybrands will most likelybecome fully electric,I predict that full autonomywill also be reservedfor the luxury marketbecause it's expensive.But not only that, the infrastructure tosupport these cars is a bit spotty.Right now,existing self-driving techis housed in the car itselfmeaning the machine has to figureout the environment onits own, but it's nota stretch to imagine theroad itself communicatingto cars and helping them down the road.Imagine a traffic signal.It was communicatedwith self-driving carsand coordinated traffic.We're in a strangetransitionary period right now.As more self-driving cars get on the road,I could see self-drivingfunction being limitedto freeways and interstatesonly as the engineersand cars learn how to deal with the morecomplex city traffic.That might be happening already.I don't really know, butlike I'm imagining likeyou do it on the 10and then you just press thebutton, drive me to Sacramento.And it just goes all the way up to I five.And then ironically, theself-driving cars can't go fasterthan the speed limitif you're just gettingpassed by Beamers, right?And left Infiniti, QX 60blown by on the I five.Cause you can't go one10, like you normally can.I've never sped on the I five.The final insight in theMcKinsey mobility reportthat's relevant to this video,it's less about carsand more about markets.Right now,OEMs usually refer to marketby their region like theAmerican market or thethe Asian market or theEuropean market take your pick.But McKinsey says that citytype will quote, replace regionas the most relevantsegmentation dimensionthat determines mobility behavior.In simpler terms, New Yorkand Los Angeles will soon havemore in common as a marketwith Shanghai those citieswould, would say Kentucky.Againthis is kind of obvious andsomething we already see.For example, rural California'slove their pickup trucksbut I don't see a lotof them in LA becausethere's nowhere to park one.So what does this mean for you,the car nerd. well expecteven more crossoversin the market, expect morerobots sharing the room I rodewith you, duh, but third,and this is not a connectionthe report makes, maybeexpect some foreign modelswe don't get here.Here's my reasoning.If governments get togetherand enact similar emissionsand safety standards around the globeI could see manufacturers bringing carsto our cities that have been provenin similar cities on theother side of the planet.So like if a car works really well in sayMumbai or Los Angeles,maybe those cars get shiftedaround. All these OEMs useglobal platforms, right?Change it up,some styling here and thereto appeal to certain markets.Boom, but that will onlycome to pass if 2035it doesn't completely change everything.2035.Nobody really knows whatmanufacturers will be doing in 14 years.But we do have an ideaof what some governments want to do.Case in point state of California,executive order ends 7920 AKA the great gasolineengine ban of 2035.Okay. That might be overselling itbut here's what it is.In this executive order,Governor Gavin Newsome laysout his plan for acarbon neutral Californiawhich hinges on prohibiting the saleof new passenger cars poweredby internal combustion enginesby 2035with medium and heavy dutytrucks following in 2045.the governor would also liketo improve public transitand micro mobility.You know, bike lanes,obviously this executive ordercaused quite the hullabaloowhen it was announced last year.But despite our somewhathippy reputation herewe Californians love our cars.We've got sickracetracks drag racing was invented here.Southern California is stilla hotspot for car culture.But if the state actually pulls us offit could have ramificationsacross the country.Other states might follow suit.It happened before with ourcarbon emission standards.If a manufacturer wants to sell a carin the U S it has to meetthe strictest regulationsin the country, which wehave here in California.There's been a lot ofdiscussion about thisa lot of debate, but whatcan we actually expect?Well, first up this executiveorder wouldn't mean the endof gasoline enginesaltogether, just in new cars.We'd still be able to buyused cars that run on gas.You just wouldn't see themon the showroom floor.Secondly, and more importantlyit's an executive order, not a law.This is just the governordirecting state agencies tostart working towards thisgoal has no legal binding.Thirdly, this is probablywhere the market isgoing to go anyway with orwithout the state charming yet.As Evie and hydrogen technology advancesit's going to get a lotbetter and a lot cheaperand therefore into thehands of a lot more people.For example, the 2007Tesla Roadster had a rangeof about 250 miles, a top speedof one 30 and a retail price of $98,000.Today you can order a modelthree with a 350 mile rangea top speed of one 45and a price of $40,119.14 years from now in 2035all those numbers are goingto be way more impressive.Executive order or not.2041.That's 20 years from now.I'll be 48.I hope.Sp long as I don't getinto a fight with oneof those robot dog things,I should make it. By thenbarring anythingcataclysmic, EVs are going tobe approaching majority status.There will probably stillbe a lot of old internalcombustion cars on the road,especially in rural areas.Which brings up the eventI'm looking forward tothe least in this videoand that is trying to buyone of these old things.A few weeks ago, we talkedabout online car auction sitesand the effect they've hadon today's market and howcertain car values are alreadybeing inflated by collectorswith deep pockets when thereare less and less gasoline carson the road and by extension way less carswith manual transmissions,I can see this problemgetting much more expensive.For future people, if you have aneven mildly interesting carwith an internal combustionengine, hold onto it.If you can enjoy it, but hold onto it.There's a decent chancethat in 20 years you can getgood money for it.I'm not saying you should panicand go buy something rightnow in hopes that it will gain value.That's not how you shouldtreat cars, but Heysomeone might want your bone stock 2020Corolla hatch in the future just saying.2046.Okay. We made it 2046.25 years in the future,3 years before the eventsof blade runner 2049.Well, we have flying cars,unlikely check out our podcastsand flying cars to seewhy that's the case.Well, I look like Ryan Goslingalso unlikely, probably morelike Harrison Ford,honestly, no way to give youan accurate guess of whathappens that far in the futurebut that won't stop me from trying.Earlier we talked aboutautonomous cars and how by 2030we might see 15% of carson the road being able to completely drivethemselves.But as we know,technology often improvesat an exponential rate.Futurists predict that by the mid 2040s,autonomous cars will be evenmore grand into our society,especially in large city centers.According to futurist Rohit Talwar,it's conceivable that inthe years leading up to 2040the computing power within ourcars will become so powerfulthat the idea of the car willtransform into a quote, alwayson highly connected, selfmonitoring, self managingtechnology platform, notto something to get youfrom a to B, but a partof a larger system.A cog in the machine that is mobility.In a lecture by futurist, Gareth Leonard,he lays out the idea thatchanges in transportationare really changes in culture.And that every city will have adifferent need for transportation.I mean, we already see thisin the U S right, citieslike New York and Chicago are super denseor public transit is awesome.And you don't need a car.Over in LA though,Everything is kind ofspread out and you kind ofneed a car to get around. In rural areas,you absolutely need to have your own rideAs a result,the feel the culture ofthese places is different.And as time marches onour needs will change.And so will our attitudesand culture aroundcars. If you'rewatching this video, you willprobably always have a placein your heart for carsbut your kids and grandkids might not.And that's how change happens.While the future may be scary,fate is not set in stone.It probably won't even be five yearsbefore a prediction I'm makingthis video is hilariouslyout of date and very, very wrong.So relax and enjoy thecards we have right nowbecause that's all wereally have control over.Also, the GRS will be legaltoo important, 25 years.So set yourself a reminder.Siri set a reminder 25 yearsfrom now buy a Toyota gr Doris.- Okay, added.- Thank you.Hey, if you like thisvideo, go ahead and hit thatlike button considersubscribing to our channel.We put out dope videoslike this nearly every day.I'm optimistic for the future.I think the advancingtechnology is really sick.These electric cars, I'vedriven a few of them.They haul ass and that'sall that matters to me.They're sick.Followed donut mediaon all social media at donut media.It's a lot of media.Follow me @nolanjsykes.I take pictures sometimes.Be kind,take care of each other,hold onto your cool car.See you next time.